نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
استادیار گروه معارف سیاسی اسلام و انقلاب اسلامی دانشکدة علوم اجتماعی و فرهنگی دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)
عنوان مقاله [English]
The enemies of I.R of Iran have problematized its nuke activities as a new allegation against it. Because the case took 10 years and the probability of war against Iran, it necessitates understanding the behaviors of the parties and foreseeing their future deeds. In this article, combining Operational Code Analysis and Games Theory (theory of move and acceleratory game), we would evaluate the possible future of the conflict between Iran and the group 5+1. Also we added some innovations to the game theory under the shadow of the method of operational code analysis. It concludes that historically Iran has learned to keep the status quo pessimistically and to risk less. Although the rival has the same attitude, it ought to take initiative, to pave the way and to lead the current deadlock state to solution (the improvement of the conditions of negotiations), because it is more powerful and potentially more risky.