دینامیک انطباق و گذار در سیستم‌های سایبری و سیاست خارجی

قاسمی, فرهاد

doi:10.22059/jpq.2015.55586

دینامیک انطباق و گذار در سیستم‌های سایبری و سیاست خارجی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

فرهاد قاسمی

دانشیار گروه روابط بین‌الملل دانشکدة حقوق و علوم سیاسی دانشگاه تهران

10.22059/jpq.2015.55586

چکیده

از پایان جنگ سرد، جدال شدیدی در حوزة دانشگاهی و جهان سیاست، بر سر مفهوم‌های سنتی و نظریه‌های روابط بین‌الملل و سیاست خارجی رخ داده است. در این زمینه می‌توان سه مرحلة مشخص از ظهور و ورود پیچیدگی را به درون حوزة روابط بین‌الملل تشخیص داد: مرحلة نخست، پیچیدگی و سیاست بین‌الملل در تبیین تغییر است؛ مرحلة دوم، دربارة سیاست خارجی و پیچیدگی و مرحلة سوم، مربوط به کاربرد پیچیدگی در فرایندهای سیاستگذاری است. پیچیده شدن سیستم بین‌الملل، ضمن ناکارآمد‌سازی مفهوم‌های سنتی، سیاست خارجی را با مفهوم‌های نوی روبه‌رو کرده است و در این میان، منطق سیستمی سیاست خارجی سبب ضرورت یافتن توجه به مفهوم‌های سیستم‌‌های سایبری شده است. با توجه به ناکارآمدی پژوهش‌های موجود در این حوزه، پژوهش پیش رو این پرسش اساسی را مطرح می‌کند که «سیاست خارجی در وضعیت پیچیدگی و سیستم‌های آشوبی، دارای چه نوع منطق سیستمی است و دستور کار سیاست خارجی از منظر سیستم‌های دینامیک سایبری، چگونه و براساس چه متغیرهایی ترسیم می‌شود؟». فرضیة این پژوهش، این است که سیستم بین‌الملل در مرحلة پیچیدگی و آشوبی خود از ویژگی انطباقی برخوردار است؛ به‌همین دلیل منطبق‌سازی، متعادل‌سازی، طراحی منطقة ثبات و طراحی سیستم مطرح است و باید دستور کار سیاست خارجی براساس این واقعیت‌ها ترسیم شود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Adaptive and transitional dynamics in cybernetic systems and foreign policy

نویسنده [English]

Farhad Ghasemi

Associate Professor, International Relations, University of Tehran, Iran

چکیده [English]

Since the end of the Cold War, a fierce debate has been taking place both in the academic and in the political world about the problems of traditional concepts and theories of international relations and foreign policy in this respect we can identify three distinct phases of complexity’s emergence into the field of international politics. The first phase of complexity and international politics is about explaining change. The second phase is about foreign policy and complexity. The third phase is related to applying complexity to foreign policymaking processes. Complexity of international system, while in foreign policy area has caused inefficiency of traditional concepts, has faced it with new concepts and also systemic logic of foreign policy led to necessity of considering of cybernetic system’s concepts. By attention to inefficiency of current literatures in this area, this research has raised this question that what kind of systemic logic is sovereign on foreign policy in complexity situation and chaotic system. And in cybernetic dynamic systems how agenda of foreign policy will be arranged? Author believes that international systems in period of complexity and chaotic have adaptive feature and in this respect designing of adaption, equilibrium and stability region and designing of system are important. Foreign policy agenda should be drawn based on these realities.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

adaptive systems
cybernetic systems
designing of systems
Foreign Policy
Policy making
systemic equilibrium
trasition of system

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